The Answer is Bioeconomic Natural or Econobusiness Biocycle Dynamic as a New Alternative
There are some complains that economy science have been not
be able to accurate predictions and in problem solving on various
complex on economic problems, even since 1930 year that “The Great Deppression”
happen until financial crisis on sub-prime mortgages and it derivatives
in 2007 year. This crisis still exist and began to contaminated the
European Economic Countries. Exactly, economic science still able to
predicted on economic activities is simple, closely and regional nature
with bilateral trading systems. But with globalization, especially in
financial sector on money, stocks, derivatives, commodities, treasury
bills market and obligation markets, the economic knowledge will be not
work accurately and good analyzes. That the same for economic planning
have failure for raise up the public prosperity and find the good job
and opportunity, included how to manage their debts, how to plan the
developed sectors in priority scale to give the leveraging of economic
growth quality for all peoples to get the prosperity level. According to
Prof. Paul Ormerod that economic science have been dead and he will be
give a solutions to used The Butterfly Economic Methods in forming of
ants teamwork in groups and organization systems harmony to get their
food and life.
For many economist this paper to remember on book of Paul Ormerod with topic “The Death of Economics”.
It is maybe a signal that rapidly or slowly, Faculty of Economy will be
disappear. But for myself this is no need for disappear if they want to
see the this reality and began to adoption some of knowledge like
biology (bio-economic), physical (econo-physic), chemistry, butterfly
economic, medical, psychologic, social business management and economic
natural based scope (eco-system like eco-nomy)
into various of their formulas and technical analyzed method without
very much involved in matemathic and statistical science (being
dynamical science like aerodynamic, water dynamic and population
dynamic) in their analyze predictions and find a good solutions on
economic development vision in “Struggle for Life in the Forest” and not anymore in “Survival of the Fittest in the Jungle or Desert”.
Also they must not used various assumptions that truly not a reality
that will be happen. The econometrics still be good for the micro and
private sectors for financial and accounting scope but if to enter the
economic macro economy must be translated into various discipline sides.
Adam Smith as a Father of Economic Science says that economy is a
knowledge how to prosperity the peoples with always to keep the natural
and outer space (astronomies) in harmony and synergic for the now and
next generations. But economic science have to loose “soul”
as foundation have create by Adam Smith, Keynes and David Ricardo as
well Schumpeter. Economy science that the real is a knowledge to learn
about human behavior which very complex, but now have been by pass with
mathematics model that which very complex and frightening. But the Adam
Smith economist follower can’t able to translated this formulas into
the good methods, analyzes and economic decisions. The essence of this glorious message is that we should treat human beings, human relationships with other human beings in economic activities and economic decision making should be in the context of a harmonious social environment, natural environment and the environment in the vision of the universe, activities and more complex concepts (non-linear), humane and environmentally friendly nature rather than maximization of profit and the exploitation of natural resources and human resources in the social aspect. That is why economics and business only produces a variety of issues, such as social inequality, environmental degradation, social upheaval and political economy, poverty, disease, war and mental damage (selfishness, greed, consumerism, and excess property without a conscience).
According to me, there are some big questions to economy science that
not yet able to answer with complete and accurately like :
1.
Economy science have not yet able to make accurately predicting for
many economic macro indicators in monthly, quarterly and yearly and
always must be revised.
2.
Can not able to predicting many factors of internal and external risk,
included in method of management risk, how to prevented and avoid
from its systemic risk.
3. Why
economics is just using mathematical and statistical science in
perform a variety of macroeconomic indicators predict that it could not
follow the dynamics of business economics, including the speed of
technological change. And also build a variety of financial structures
that are very vulnerable to the influence of economic turmoil, both in
terms of its architecture and foundation building a variety of levels by
simply manipulating and derivating mathematical calculation to
establish a structure of financial derivatives very large, massive and
widespread but very fragile economic turbulencies effect.
4. Economics has not been able to cover a variety of social inequality, poverty, make income distribution as well as economic analysis appropriate environment to prevent environmental damage and social consequences various economic development activities in an integrated, effective and efficient.
5. In calculating the time, science is only wearing a variety of derivatives mathematic to predict the strains of the human dynamics of business economics with linier calculating (dimension 1) without entering aspects of cultural, social and psychological man who always want to progress and change with the dynamics of dimension 2 - 4.